นึกถึงโพสต์เก่าๆ ที่เคยเขียนพยากรณ์ไว้มากมาย
ลองมาประเมินตัวเองหน่อยว่า กาลเวลาผ่านไป เข้าเป้าแค่ไหน ความแม่นประมาณไหน
คิดถึงเรื่อง killer application ตอนเดินมายังที่ทำงาน มาจดเก็บไว้หน่อย
Apple II
IBM PC
(ยุคแรก)
(ยุควินโดวส์)
(ยุค 90s)
CES 2010 has passed. After a week of close observation, what I can say is, CES 2010 is the starting point of the Fall of Wintel Empire.
Wintel, traditional desktop PC approach, is still there. It still grows (while gradually) but it is "not important as before." The golden age of Wintel, 90s and 2000s, is now gone.
CES 2010 exhibitors show us the alternative choices of Wintel approach. In term of processor, we have ARM and Atom beside of traditional desktop processors. For form factor, traditional PCs are eclipsed by netbooks, eReaders, tablets, slates, PMPs, MIDs, game consoles and smartphones. And on the software front, Windows does not dominate anymore, thanks for the incarnation of Linux-driven OS, specifically Android, webOS, Maemo and Moblin. Apple OS X lines and Symbian are also counted.
What I also need to say is: Intel's own Atom and Microsoft's Xbox/Windows Mobile are competitors of Wintel approach as well. The vision of a computer on every desk and in every home is now completed. Let the new era begin.
Big day for acquisition (Google and EA). As usual, big media have better insight for you readers:
My thought: while it is not official yet, buying Gizmo 5 means nothing at all, especially when compared with Skype liberation. Gizmo 5 will be yet another plugin for Google Talk/another jigsaw for not-so-important VoIP masterplan. But AdMob is essential.
Buying Playfish is also important. It shows us where is the next landscape EA is going to reach.
First, MIT Media Lab, the creator of OLPC, failed to produce the device at $100 as claimed.
OLPC team are scholars and tech inventors from academic cycle.
Then ASUS, Taiwanese PC manufacturer, borrowed the concept of 'small notebook' and launched the legendary Eee PC 701 at affordable price. All popular netbooks sold in the last few years are from established, well-known manufacturers like Acer or Samsung.
Again last year, we heard the hype of CrunchPad, very cheap internet tablet from TechCrunch, a famous tech blog.
TechCrunch successfully convinced me to buy one when the device comes out. However, a news piece from BusinessInsider is questioning the delay/death of CrunchPad due to higher-than-expected costs.
If that's real, we will see yet another failure of prominent gadget from a new player from different industry. If both MIT and TechCrunch fail, does that mean the hardware industry is very tough? How can the new entrance survive?
